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SPE Carbon Dioxide Capture, Utilization and Storage (CCUS) Technical SectionJanuary 4, 2017 This is another problem of many regarding substantiation of claims using the scientific method, and it involves some of the most important issues facing the world today. See Requirements for Substantiation:
Our replies in very important discussions in this SPE Technical Section are being censored and not allowed, so we are forced to post them here. Existing and proposed regulation is causing great harm to our economy and the public for no known reason. There is absolutely no valid evidence of the need or benefit for CO2 storage. Proof of that is the inability of anyone to answer any of our questions in these discussions, in SPE censorship of our responses, in the responses of those who support it (including the Section Chairman, who suggests that we should take action "while we await consensus" based on the unsubstantiated claims of fraudulent government "climate scientists")*, and in the incompetent PRMS definitions and rules, on which SPE's SRMS effort is based (see Reserves Definitions). Those efforts also clearly violate our ethical guidelines by not giving the names of their authors. There is no industry interest in the subject of CO2 capture and storage, other than by those who wish to profit from unnecessary regulation and destruction of the petroleum industry. Evidence of that is the lack of any discussion in this Technical Section since it was formed. Further proof is the intentional elimination of the coal industry and destruction of our economy with the Clean Power Plan* and other regulation that has reduced the value of all US coal reserves and all reserves in federal waters to 0 while eliminating hundreds of thousands of jobs. Intentional destruction of our economy is counter to the Fifth Amendment of our Constitution prohibiting the confiscation of private property. The discussions are (SPE login and group membership are required): "CO2 utilization vs. storage: why store it?" "Does anthropogenic global warming exist?" "Does anthropogenic global warming exist?" (created in response by Section Chairman) "Draft of SPE SRMS Document - Please review and comment by 12\20" Some of our blocked responses and our original posts in these discussions are copied below. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- From: Brian Coats To: SPE CCUS Technical Section Date: 12/23/2016 Subject: Who is blocking my replies in this section? This is obvious fraudulence. If my replies to Matteo, George, and Daniel do not appear and you continue to disallow my replies, this one and the others will be published elsewhere including our website, which will be very embarrassing for you and SPE. I really don’t want to do that but I will be forced to by our primary ethical responsibility to protect the public interest, which is violated by any definitions, rules, practices, or requirements for CO2 storage, as I can easily continue to demonstrate, either here or elsewhere. It is not SPE’s mission to establish or create definitions and rules for regulation of the energy industry that cannot be proven to be in the public interest, or to take any positions on politically and technically controversial subjects, or to support invalid methods and practices, or to censor our opinions and rational debate regarding them. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- From: Brian Coats To: SPE CCUS Technical Section Date: 01/02/2017 Subject: Re: "Does anthropogenic global warming exist?" Matteo, Thanks very much for your comments. Does the Feldman paper quantify the greenhouse temperature increase due to increase of CO2 composition from .03 to .04%? What exactly is that temperature increase? That's what I mean by "quantify". I agree that atmospheric oxygen is decreasing much faster than CO2 is increasing. This may be due to the low k-value of CO2. That's why a complete model of the ecosystem/planet/solar system is needed to model any changes in climate. Climate is weather, the distinction is simply a matter of time scale. It is constantly changing on all scales. If you can point to any published description of any climate model, I'm sure I can show why its assumptions do not apply. There's no way that these models even approach the capabilities of our reservoir models. If a valid one were developed by government then it should certainly be publicly available and published in detail. You're right that no reservoir model description is correct because our reservoirs are mostly unknown systems (that's why probabilistic solutions are required). Climate models don't have that problem, at least not to the same extent (the system can be observed, except for the subsurface). They would have to be 3d models in spherical coordinates and include the entire topography of the earth (and its subsurface to the core) including all bodies of water, and would have to be thermal compositional models including all components involved in all relevant processes, including solar and orbital considerations. It's simply far beyond the current capabilities of man (simulation). I don't even believe that there is any climate model capable of accurately calculating a global average temperature. The point of my last post regarding the theory of dying oceans is that without a very complex climate/world/stellar model for testing, it’s impossible to prove or disprove any such theory (or the need or benefit of CO2 storage). I was simply pointing out that there are alternate explanations for the symptoms that we are observing, such as rapidly changing atmospheric composition. Sorry to add another question to the list. I don’t think any of them have been answered yet, and they’re all related to the main topic under discussion. 1. Where are the results of the simplest possible experiment demonstrating (or allowing calculation of) the greenhouse temperature increase due to increasing CO2 concentration from .03 to .04%? Can the results of any of the mentioned experiments or any other be used to calculate it? 2. Why is there any concern over a 1 degree temperature change in a century? (given the interpreted ice core temperature oscillations of 3-5 degrees F on the order of a century or two for the last 15000 years) 3. Why does anyone believe in anthropogenic global warming, or in the need or benefit of CO2 storage? 4. Why would anyone want to waste CO2 by storing it (significantly increasing the cost of energy) rather than use it for (primary or EOR) miscible or near-miscible recovery (potentially giving an order-of-magnitude increase in recovery efficiency, not counting capture and transportation costs)? 5. Can anyone point to the published formulation of any global climate model (or the user’s manual)? I could be wrong but I can’t find any that are publicly available for examination or use, which would indicate that no robust global climate model exists. I don't think that there is any such model capable of calculating an accurate global average temperature change over the last century, or for any given time period. If using surface temperature measurements, that would minimally require continuous input temperature data over 200 years, integrated over time using the same methods for each of the same weather stations on a fine grid over the entire earth, which I don't think we have. Examination of any model's formulation or user’s manual should easily tell us whether or not any robust global climate models exist. Best Regards, Brian ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- From: Brian Coats To: SPE CCUS Technical Section Date: 01/03/2016 Subject: Re: "CO2 utilization vs. storage: why store it?" Hi Herberth, Can you give any substantiation of the claim that man is causing global warming? Can you answer any of my questions about it? 1. Where are the results of the simplest possible experiment demonstrating (or allowing calculation of) the greenhouse temperature increase due to increasing CO2 concentration from .03 to .04%? Can the results of any of the mentioned experiments or any other be used to calculate it? 2. Why is there any concern over a 1 degree temperature change in a century? (given the interpreted ice core temperature oscillations of 3-5 degrees F on the order of a century or two for the last 15000 years) 3. Why does anyone believe in anthropogenic global warming, or in the need or benefit of CO2 storage? 4. Why would anyone want to waste CO2 by storing it (significantly increasing the cost of energy) rather than use it for (primary or EOR) miscible or near-miscible recovery (potentially giving an order-of-magnitude increase in recovery efficiency, not counting capture and transportation costs) 5. Can anyone point to the published formulation of any global climate model (or the user’s manual)? I could be wrong but I can’t find any that are publicly available for examination or use, which would indicate that no robust global climate model exists. I don't think that there is any such model capable of calculating an accurate global average temperature change over the last century, or for any given time period. If using surface temperature measurements, that would minimally require continuous input temperature data over 200 years, integrated over time using the same methods for each of the same weather stations on a fine grid over the entire earth, which I don't think we have. Availability and examination of any model formulation or user’s manual should easily tell us whether or not any robust global climate models exist. Regards, Brian ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- From: Brian Coats To: SPE CCUS Technical Section Date: 01/04/2016 Subject: Please post my latest replies to Matteo and Herberth If you don't post my replies I'll be forced to make the new page available under a "CCUS" tab on our website, SPE Carbon Dioxide Capture, Utilization and Storage (CCUS) Technical Section I suggest that you post them today, but if not, it's a great new web page that I'm sure will be very popular, and thanks very much for your contributions to proof of my claims. I'll add this one (Jan. 4, 2017 12:50 pm). Regards, Brian ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- And from the SPE Reservoir Technical Section: From: Brian Coats To: SPE RESERVOIR Technical Section Date: 12/29/2017 Subject: Reservoir Role in Climate Change
Thanks for the references Neil. It took very little time to see that the
Nasa model is completely insufficient to model climate change, since it does
not take into account major factors such as variations in the earth's
orbit. Our climate has been changing on all time scales since the earth was
formed. The first sentence of the description is:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Original posts: From: Brian Coats To: SPE CCUS Technical Section Date: 12/15/2016 Subject: CO2 utilization vs. storage: why store it?
CO2 capture and usage as a miscible flood solvent
makes much more sense than storage, since CO2 is generally the best known
solvent for oil. Miscible flooding as a primary recovery method could make
energy production far more efficient, even including capture and
transportation costs (as opposed to primary depletion followed by waterflooding followed by miscible or other EOR method), where it is
applicable - which is generally to light to intermediate-weight oils.
Unfortunately, it seems that convention (definitions/practices of primary,
secondary, tertiary recovery) and policy and regulation effectively prevent
it. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- From: Brian Coats To: SPE CCUS Technical Section Date: 12/15/2016 Subject: Does anthropogenic global warming exist? This is one of the most controversial issues of our time. I think that the US government will soon adopt the opposite of its present (affirmative) position. I don’t think that there is any valid evidence of anthropogenic global warming. Our climate has been constantly changing since the earth was formed. I also don’t believe that there’s any need or rationale for CO2 storage And, I don’t think that there’s even a remote possibility of affecting the weather by doing so, as Marco Rubio also claims. I think that we can determine the answer to the main question here through rational scientific debate. Engineers and scientists use the scientific method to validate or refute any claim or method. That means that we use simple logic and the simplest possible examples or tests to substantiate our claims and methods. “Rational” means that if one is asked a simple question regarding his position and he is unable or unwilling to respond, then his position is lost. This is what makes these discussion forums so important – they allow such rational debate to pursue and possibly prove the truth on any subject. Publications do not allow the possibility of timely debate and resolution of controversial subjects. Proponents claim global warming due to greenhouse effect resulting from a 100 ppm increase in CO2 that can be attributed to man. Where are the results of the simplest possible experiment demonstrating it? The difference in equilibrium temperature in 2 tanks exposed to the same amount of radiation with a 100 ppm difference in CO2 would demonstrate the effect (initialize the tanks equally, withdraw gas from one and add CO2 to establish the 100 ppm difference). I think that experimental results can’t be found because the effect is negligible, and because we’ve mostly forgotten how to substantiate or refute a claim using the scientific method. Endless debate is the result of ignoring it. We must of course minimize pollution, but CO2 is not a pollutant. Increased levels are in fact beneficial to plant and animal life. Search for "ice age cycle" and look at the interpreted data from ice cores showing the last 5 or 6 ice ages on a cycle of 80 to 120 thousand years (the Malankovitch cycle, thought to be caused by variations in the earth’s orbit). Every annual orbit of the earth around the sun is different due to variation in gravitational forces on the scale of the solar system. Also look at the 5 degree F oscillations in interpreted global average temperature on a cycle of a century or two over the last 15 thousand years, far greater than the 1 degree change over the last century noted by proponents. This oscillation dies out before that because the interpretations become less accurate as the older and deeper ice layers become more difficult to distinguish due to compaction. Why is there any concern over a claimed 1 degree temperature change in a century? It is actually impossible to compute a global average temperature from sparse surface measurements. Any claim of accurately doing so is false. A fine grid over the entire surface of the earth monitored 24/7 would be required, to integrate temperature data over time and accurately compute a global average temperature (how is temperature at the ocean surfaces covering most of the earth accounted for?). Satellite imagery can be used but it isn't by NASA/NOAA because it doesn't reflect any warming at all, according to a number of sources. Even if global warming currently exists, I don’t think that there is any valid evidence that it’s due to man. Since our climate is constantly changing, either global warming or cooling is constantly occurring to some degree. Climate is guaranteed to be constantly changing at every point on the surface of the earth on the scale of hours, days, years, and geologic time. I and many others believe that anthropogenic global warming is no more than a current government and UN agenda to increase regulation and control of business. I find the whole idea of carbon sequestration and storage to be nonsensical. I don’t think we can possibly store enough CO2 to have a significant effect. I don’t even think that we even produce enough to have a significant effect! Our climate is constantly changing over geologic time and is controlled by forces on the scale of the planet and moon and solar system that are far beyond the control or influence of man. It’s certainly important that we minimize pollution, and I believe that our most important current environmental concern by far is the dumping of trash and toxic chemicals into our lakes, rivers, and oceans, since man was able to stand. Why does anyone believe in anthropogenic global warming, or in the need or benefit of CO2 storage? I’ve looked through the references given by this technical section and all technical papers on the subject that I can find, and I find no proof of it. I find much valid evidence against it, including the extremely valuable potential use of CO2 for (primary or EOR) miscible flooding. Regards, Brian -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Also see ClimateGate: The Fix is In - concluding "This is the scandal of the century", and |
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